2030. Как современные тренды влияют друг на друга и на наше будущее

О неприятии потерь см. Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, "Choices, Values, and Frames," American Psychologist 39, no. 4 (1984): 341–350; Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, «Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty,» Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 5, no. 4 (1992): 297–323; Thea Wiig, «Can Framing Change Individual Attitudes Towards Migration?» master's thesis, University of Bergen, 2017, https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/f48f/2aac7860277f9fb97e234f0d28963b5d618d.pdf; Mehtap Akgü-et al., «Risk Attitudes and Migration,» China Economic Review 37, no. C (2016): 166–176; William A. V. Clark and William Lisowski, «Prospect Theory and the Decision to Move or Stay,» Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114, no. 36 (2017): E7432–E7440; Mathias Czaika, «Migration and Economic Prospects,» Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies 41, no. 1 (2015): 58–82; James Surowiecki, «Losers!» The New Yorker, May 30, 2016.

О воздействии иммиграции на программы социального обеспечения см. The 2018 Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Federal Disability Insurance Trust Funds (Washington, DC: Social Security Administration, 2018), https://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2018/tr2018.pdf; Andrew Cline, «Social Security and Medicare Are Slowly Dying, but No One in Washington Will Lift a Finger,» USA Today, June 13, 2018; Alexia Fernández Campbell, «Why Baby Boomers Need Immigrants to Fund Their Retirement,» Vox, October 23, 2018, https://www.vox.com/2018/8/1/17561014/immigration-social-security; Nina Roberts, «Undocumented Immigrants Quietly Pay Billions into Social Security and Receive No Benefits,» Marketplace, January 28, 2019, https://www.marketplace.org/2019/01/28/undocumented-immigrants-quietly-pay-billions-social-security-and-receive-no.

Концепция циркуляции умов была представлена в AnnaLee Saxenian, "From Brain Drain to Brain Circulation: Transnational Communities and Regional Upgrading in India and China," Studies in Comparative International Development 40 (2005): 35–61. Исследование Всемирного банка по транснациональным предпринимателям было опубликовано в Diaspora Networks and the International Migration of Skills (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2006). По У Миню см. AnnaLee Saxenian, «Brain Circulation: How High-Skill Immigration Makes Everyone Better Off,» Brookings Institution, 2002, https://www.brookings.edu/articles/brain-circulation-how-high-skill-immigration-makes-everyone-better-off. По Джеймсу Ким Джу Чину см. Tim Hyland, «Kim: 'There Is Much to Be Done,'» Wharton Magazine, Summer 2010, http://whartonmagazine.com/issues/summer-2010/kim-there-is-much-to-be-done/#sthash.bepdPPNK.dpbs.

Исследование The Conference Board of Canada study представлено на https://www.conferenceboard.ca/press/newsrelease/2018/05/15/imagining-canada-s-economy-without-immigration?AspxAutoDetectCookieSupport=1.

2. Седина – хит сезона

Доступ на сайты осуществлялся вплоть до 9 июля 2019 г.

В настоящей главе данные по количеству людей в разных возрастных группах взяты из United Nations, World Population Prospects, 2019 Revision, https://population.un.org/wpp.

Данные Morgan Stanley взяты из John Gapper, "How Millennials Became the World's Most Powerful Consumers," Financial Times, June 6, 2018. Заголовки материалов СМИ про миллениалов собраны в Carly Stern, «'I Wanted to Make a Memorial of All Our Destruction,'» Daily Mail, August 17, 2017.

Анализ затрат на здравоохранение по разным возрастным группам в США представлен в Tate Ryan-Mosley, "U.S. Health-Care Costs Are Soaring, but Don't Blame Old People," MIT Technology Review, September – October 2019, 57.

О благосостоянии пожилого населения см. AARP and Oxford Economics, The Longevity Economy: How People over 50 Are Driving Economic and Social Value in the US, September 2016, https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/home-and-family/personal-technology/2016/09/2016-Longevity-Economy-AARP.pdf.