In planning the gigantic enterprise of 1943 it was not possible for us to lay aside all other duties. Our first Imperial duty was to defend India... To allow the Germans and Japanese to join hands in India or the Middle East involved a measureless
disaster to the allied cause. It ranked in my mind almost as the equal of the
retirement of Soviet Russia behind the Urals, or even of their making a separate
peace with Germany. At this date [spring 1942] I did not deem either of these
contingencies likely, [but] our Indian Empire... might fall an easy prey... Hitler's subjugation of Soviet Russia would be a much longer and, to him, more costly task.
Before it was accomplished the Anglo-American command of the air would have
been established beyond challenge. Even if all else failed this would be finally
decisive...
[
Churchill, op. cit., vol. 4, p. 288.]Roosevelt was extremely sceptical about "any junction between Japanese and Germans"
and was, like General Marshall, more favourable than Churchill to an attempt to open a Second Front in France in 1942.
That was certainly the impression that Molotov brought back from his visits to
Washington and London in May-June 1942, and the present-day Soviet
Molotov was that he
The public statement issued on June 11 therefore included the sentence:
"In the course of the conversations full understanding was reached with regard to the urgent task of creating a Second Front in Europe in 1942."
Now the fat was in the fire. Although Churchill discreetly omits to mention Roosevelt's responsibility for this statement, and felt forced to subscribe to it on Molotov's return from Washington to London, he insisted on handing to Molotov the now well-known
It is impossible to say in advance whether the situation will be such as to make this operation feasible when the time comes. We can therefore give no promise in the
matter, but, provided that it appears sound and sensible, we shall not hesitate to put our plans into effect.
[
Sherwood, op. cit., p. 582, and Churchill, op. cit., vol. 4, p. 305. Churchill underlines the words "We can therefore give no promise in the matter"]The plan in question, as we know, concerned "a landing on the Continent in August or September 1942", and Molotov's great hope was that "at least forty German divisions"
would be drawn off from the Russian front.
At the ceremony in London on May 26 at which the Anglo-Soviet Treaty was signed very warm speeches were made by Molotov and Eden, both of whom stressed the great
importance of the alliance, not only during the war, but also after the war. For all that, Churchill's attitude continued to be somewhat reserved. According to both the Russians and Americans, relations between Molotov and Roosevelt were much more friendly than
between Molotov and Churchill.
[Many anecdotes were told both then and later about Molotov's week-end at Chequers.