Since the Molotov visit to Berlin and, even more so, since the middle of January, the Russians had, indeed, more and more cause for uneasiness, but they continued for as long as possible to hope that Germany was still not interested in the East. On January 7 a photograph—obviously old, and dating from September 1940—was published in
However, appearances had to be kept up. On January 11,
communiqué on reciprocal property claims in Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia and on the repatriation of Germans from these countries; as well as on a new Mikoyan-Schnurre
economic agreement. All was well,
The present agreement, based on the Soviet-German agreement of February 11,
1940, covers the period from February 11, 1941 to August 1, 1942 and marks the
next stage in the economic programme approved by the Soviet and German
Governments. It provides for a much larger volume of trade than that provided for during the previous period. The USSR will send industrial raw materials, oil
products and foodstuffs, particularly grain... Germany will send us industrial
equipment. This new economic agreement of January 10, 1941 marks a great step
forward.
The exact volume and nature of this trade was kept dark at the time, and even today it remains one of the more obscure aspects of the last war. There are conflicting views as to the contribution these Russian supplies made to Germany's war economy. Certain
German studies have tended to exaggerate their importance, while the Russians have
tried, on the contrary, to minimise them. More recently Professor Friedensburg of the West German
The last two items were of course of great importance to Germany's war industry at the time when the British blockade had deprived it of many of its customary sources of
supply. According to Friedensburg, Russia had not supplied them before the Soviet-
German Pact had come into force. He also claims that the Russians had resold to
Germany copper bought from the United States. On the other hand, the Russians seem to have received fairly little in return. According to the same author, German statistics for that period show a balance of 239 million Reichsmarks in the Russians' favour, while the Russian statistics for 1940 showed a balance of 380 million roubles also in their favour, a sum which the Hitler régime had never paid and which the author asserts the Russians themselves refrained from claiming after the war, suggesting that they found it more convenient to forget about it.
During May and June 1941 when Stalin dreaded more than ever a German attack,
important raw materials such as copper and rubber were being rushed to Germany by
express trains from the East and the Far East to keep Hitler happy in an effort of
"appeasement" that was as frantic as it was futile. A few weeks later this copper, after processing, was used to kill thousands of Russians.
So, on the surface, all seemed well on January 10 when the new economic agreement was signed with Germany—an agreement which covered the period up to August 1, 1942—
by which time the Germans were well on their way to Stalingrad and the Caucasus.
But only three days later a new kind of rot started.