Nightingale set about transforming the hospital by providing decent food, clean linen, clearing out the drains and opening the windows to let in fresh air. In just one week she removed 215 handcarts of filth, flushed the sewers nineteen times and buried the carcasses of two horses, a cow and four dogs which had been found in the hospital grounds. The officers and doctors who had previously run the institution felt that these changes were an insult to their professionalism and fought her every step of the way, but she pushed ahead regardless. The results seemed to vindicate her methods: in February 1855 the death rate for all admitted soldiers was 43 per cent, but after her reforms it fell dramatically to just 2 per cent in June 1855. When she returned to Britain in the summer of 1856, Nightingale was greeted as a hero, in large part due to
Wherever there is disease in its most dangerous form, and the hand of the spoiler distressingly nigh, there is that incomparable woman sure to be seen; her benignant presence is an influence for good comfort even amid the struggles of expiring nature. She is a ‘ministering angel’ without any exaggeration in these hospitals, and, as her slender form glides quietly along each corridor, every fellow’s face softens with gratitude at the sight of her.
However, there were still many sceptics. The principal medical officer of the army argued that Nightingale’s higher survival rates were not necessarily due to her improved hygiene. He pointed out that her apparent success might have been due to treating soldiers with less serious wounds, or maybe they were treated during a period of milder weather, or maybe there was some other factor that had not been taken into account.
Fortunately, as well as being an exceptionally dedicated military nurse, Nightingale was also a brilliant statistician. Her father, William Nightingale, had been broadminded enough to believe that women should be properly educated, so Florence had studied Italian, Latin, Greek, history, and particularly mathematics. In fact, she had received tutoring from some of Britain’s finest mathematicians, such as James Sylvester and Arthur Cayley.
So, when she was challenged by the British establishment, she drew upon this mathematical training and used statistical arguments to back her claim that improved hygiene led to higher survival rates. Nightingale had scrupulously compiled detailed records of her patients throughout her time in the Crimea, so she was able to trawl through them and find all sorts of evidence that proved that she was right about the importance of hygiene in healthcare.
For example, to show that the filth at Scutari Hospital had been killing soldiers, she used her records to compare a group of soldiers treated at Scutari in the early unhygienic days with a control group of injured soldiers who at the same time were being kept at their own army camp. If the camp-based control group fared better than the Scutari group, then this would indicate that the conditions that Nightingale encountered when she arrived at Scutari were indeed doing more harm than good. Sure enough, the camp-based soldiers had a mortality rate of 27 deaths per 1,000 c ompared with 427 per 1,000 a t Scutari. This was only one set of statistics, but when put alongside other comparisons it helped Nightingale to win her argument about the importance of hygiene.
Nightingale was convinced that all other major medical decisions ought to be based on similar sorts of evidence, so she fought for the establishment of a Royal Commission on the Health of the Army, to which she herself submitted several hundred pages of detailed statistics. At a time when it was considered radical merely to include data tables, she also drew multicoloured diagrams that would not look out of place in a modern boardroom presentation. She even invented an elaborate version of the pie chart, known as the polar area chart, which helped to illustrate her data. She realized that illustrating her statistics would be enormously helpful in selling her argument to politicians, who were usually not well versed in mathematics.
In due course, Nightingale’s statistical studies spearheaded a revolution in army hospitals, because the Royal Commission’s report led to the establishment of an Army Medical School and a system of collecting medical records. In turn, this resulted in a careful monitoring of which conditions and treatments did and did not benefit patients.
Today, Florence Nightingale is best known as the founder of modern nursing, having established a curriculum and training college for nurses. However, it can be argued that her lifelong campaigning for health reforms based on statistical evidence had an even more significant impact on healthcare. She was elected the first female member of the Royal Statistical Society in 1858, and went on to become an honorary member of the American Statistical Association.