Взлеты и падения государств

Laeven, Luc, and Fabián Valencia. “Systemic Banking Crises Database: An Update.” International Monetary Fund, Working Paper no. 12/163, June 2012).

Laponte, Pierre, and Alex Bellefleur. “When the Music Stops Playing for Chinese Credit.” Pavilion, October 2, 2014.

Lowenstein, Matthew. “China’s Shadow Currency.” Diplomat, December 12, 2013.

Lund-Jensen, Kasper. “Monitoring Systemic Risk Based on Dynamic Thresholds.” International Monetary Fund, Working Paper no. 12/159, June 2012.

McKinnon, Ronald. Money and Capital in Economic Development. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 1973.

Mendoza, Enrique G., and Marco E. Terrones. “An Anatomy of Credit Booms: Evidence from Macro Aggregates and Firm Level Data.” International Monetary Fund, Working Paper no. 08/226, April 6, 2008.

Mian, Atif, and Amir Sufi. House of Debt: How They (And You) Caused the Great Recession, and How We Can Prevent It from Happening Again. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2014.

Murphy, David, and Lei Chen. “Default at the Gate.” CLSA, September 29, 2014.

“New Mediocre.” Lombard Street Research, November 6, 2014.

Peek, Joe, and Eric S. Rosengren. “Unnatural Selection: Perverse Incetives and the Misallocation of Credit in Japan.” National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper no. 9643, April 2003.

Pettis, Michael. Avoiding the Fall: China’s Economic Restructuring. Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2013.

Reinhart, Carmen M., and Kenneth S. Rogoff. “Banking Crises: An Equal Opportunity Menace.” National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper no. 14587, December 2008.

Reinhart, Carmen M., and Kenneth S. Rogoff. “From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis.” National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper no. 15795, March 2010.

Reinhart, Carmen M., and Kenneth S. Rogoff. “Financial and Sovereign Debt Crises: Some Lessons Learned and Those Forgotten.” International Monetary Fund, December 24, 2013.

“Risks to Growth from Build Ups in Public Debt.” Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, March 7, 2012.

Rodrik, Dani. One Economics, Many Recipes: Globalization, Institutions, and Economic Growth. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2007.

Savary, Mathieu. “Give Credit Where Credit Is Due.” BCA Research, November 27, 2015.

Schularick, Moritz, and Alan Taylor. “Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles, and Financial Crises 1870–2008.” National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper no. 15512, November 2009.

“Shanghai Surprises.” Wall Street Journal, December 10, 2014.

Sharma, Ruchir. “China Has Its Own Debt Bomb.” Wall Street Journal, February 26, 2013.

Sharma, Ruchir. “China’s Debt Fueled Boom.” Financial Times, January 27, 2014.

Strom, Stephanie. “Clouds Hanging Over Sogo Bankruptcy Lift a Bit in Japan.” New York Times, July 15, 2000.

Taylor, Alan M. “Credit, Financial Stability, and the Macroeconomy.” National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper no. 21039, March 2015.

Taylor, Alan M. “The Great Leveraging: Five Facts and Five Lessons for Policymakers.” Bank for International Settlements, July 2012.

Timmons, Heather. “The Secret Factor in China’s Housing Bubble? Mistresses.” Aeon Magazine, October 14, 2013.

Wolf, Martin. “Credit Cannot Outgrow GDP Forever, Even in China.” Financial Times, April 1, 2014.

Wolf, Martin. “We Are Trapped in a Cycle of Credit Booms.” Financial Times, October 7, 2014.

Zhang, Joe. “China’s Economy Is Choking on a Surfeit of Stimulus.” Financial Times, November 10, 2014.

Zhao, Longying. “Chinese Housing: Tough Comparisons.” Empirical Research Partners, July 9, 2014.

Глава 10. Шумовое сопровождение

Acemoglu, Daron. “Constitutions, Politics, and Economics.” National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper no. 11235, March 2005.

Agenor, Pierre-Richard, Otaviano Canuto, and Michael Jelenic. “Avoiding Middle-Income Growth Traps.” The World Bank: Economic Premise, November 2012.

“America’s Future.” Economist, July 9, 2009.

Anderson, Jonathan. “Hard Thinking on China’s Traps, Reforms, and the Plenum.” EM Advisers Group, November 4, 2013.

Anderson, Jonathan. “The Inexorable End of Africa.” EM Advisers Group, April 3, 2014. Birrell, Ian. “Africa Is Refuting the Usual Economic Pessimism.” Wall Street Journal, April 16, 2014.

Cevik, Serhan, and Mohammad Rahmati. “Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus: An Empircal Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions.” International Monetary Fund, 2013.