— but it does show that acquiring an abstract logic is not a natural, automatic phenomenon in the way that acquiring language is. This in turn suggests that formal tools for reasoning about belief are at least as much learned as they are evolved, not (as assumed by proponents of the idea that humanity is innately rational) standard equipment.
Once we decide something is true (for whatever reason), we often make up new reasons for believing it. Consider, for example, a study that I ran some years ago. Half my subjects read a report of a study that showed that good firefighting was correlated with high scores on a measure of risk-taking ability; the other half of the subjects read the opposite: they were told of a study that showed that good firefighting was
Then, as social psychologists so often do, I pulled the rug out from under my subjects: "Headline, this news just in — the study you read about in the first part of the experiment was a fraud. The scientists who allegedly studied firefighting actually made their data up! What I'd like to know is what you really think — is firefighting really correlated with risk taking?"
Even after I told people that the original study was complete rubbish, people in the subgroups who got a chance to reflect (and create their own explanations) continued to believe whatever they had initially read. In short, if you give someone half a chance to make up their own reasons to believe something, they'll take you up on the opportunity and start to believe it — even if their original evidence is thoroughly discredited. Rational man, if he (or she) existed, would only believe what is true, invariably moving from true premises to true conclusions. Irrational man, kluged product of evolution that he (or she) is, frequently moves in the opposite direction, starting with a conclusion and seeking reasons to believe it.
Belief, I would suggest, is stitched together out of three fundamental components: a capacity for memory (beliefs would be of no value if they came and went without any long-term hold on the mind), a capacity for inference (deriving new facts from old, as just discussed), and a capacity for, of all things,
Superficially, one might think of perception and belief as separate. Perception is what we see and hear, taste, smell, or feel, while belief is what we know or think we know. But in terms of evolutionary history, the two are not as different as they initially appear. The surest path to belief is to see something. When my wife's golden retriever, Ari, wags his tail, I believe him to be happy; mail falls through the slot, and I believe the mail has arrived. Or, as Chico Marx put it, "Who are you gonna believe, me or your own eyes?"
The trouble kicks in when we start to believe things that we don't directly observe. And in the modern world, much of what we believe is not directly or readily observable. Our capacity to acquire new beliefs vicariously — from friends, teachers, or the media, without direct experience — is a key to what allows humans to build cultures and technologies of fabulous complexity. My canine friend Ari learns whatever he learns primarily through trial and error; I learn what I learn mainly through books, magazines, and the Internet. I may cast some skepticism on what I read. (Did journalist-investigator Seymour Hersh really have a well-placed, anonymous source? Did movie reviewer Anthony Lane really even see
In the early 1990s, the psychologist Daniel Gilbert, now well known for his work on happiness, tested a theory that he traced back to the seventeenth-century philosopher Baruch de Spinoza. Spinoza's idea was that "all information is [initially] accepted during comprehension and . . . false information . . . unaccepted [only later]." As a test of Spinoza's hypothesis, Gilbert presented subjects with true and false propositions — sometimes interrupting them with a brief, distracting tone (which required them to press a button). Just as Spinoza might have predicted, interruptions increased the chance that subjects would believe the false proposition;* other studies showed that people are more likely to accept falsehoods if they are distracted or put under time pressure. The ideas we encounter are, other things being equal, automatically believed — unless and until there is a chance to properly evaluate them.