IN TH E LAT E 1960s and early 1970s, in the midst of the craze for the TV show
Giving up after 15 minutes is a choice that could only really make sense under two circumstances: (1) the kids were so hungry that having the marshmallow now could stave off true starvation or (2) their prospects for a long and healthy life were so remote that the 20-minute future versions of themselves, which would get the two marshmallows, simply weren't worth planning for. Barring these rather remote possibilities, the children who gave in were behaving in an entirely irrational fashion.
Toddlers, of course, aren't the only humans who melt in the face of temptation. Teenagers often drive at speeds that would be unsafe even on the autobahn, and people of all ages have been known to engage in unprotected sex with strangers, even when they are aware of the risks. The preschoolers' marshmallows have a counterpart in my raspberry cheesecake, which I know I'll regret later but nevertheless want desperately now. If you ask people whether they'd rather have a certified check for $100 that they can cash now, or a check for twice as much that they can't cash for three years, more than half will take the $100 now. (Curiously— and I will come back to this later — most people's preferences
Collectively, the tendencies I just described exemplify what philosophers call "weakness of the will," and they are our first hint that the brain mechanisms that govern our everyday choices might be just as kluge-y as those that govern memory and belief.
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At first glance, this assumption seem awfully reasonable. Who among us isn't self-interested? And who wouldn't avoid unnecessary labor, given the chance? (Why clean your apartment unless you know that guests are coming?)
But as the architect Mies van der Rohe famously said, "God is in the details." We are indeed good at dodging unnecessary labor, but true rationality is an awfully high standard, frequently well beyond our grasp. To be truly rational, we would need, at a minimum, to face each decision with clear eyes, uncontaminated by the lust of the moment, prepared to make every decision with appropriately dispassionate views of the relevant costs and benefits. Alas, as we'll see in a moment, the weight of the evidence from psychology and neuroscience suggests otherwise. We
Appreciating what we as a species can and can't do well — when we are likely to make sound decisions and when we are likely to make a hash of them — requires moving past the idealization of economic man and into the more sticky territory of human psychology. To see why some of our choices appear perfectly sensible and others perfectly foolish, we need to understand how our capacity for choice