В поисках энергии: Ресурсные войны, новые технологии и будущее энергетики

Hecht and Tirpak, "Framework Agreement on Climate Change," p. 377 ("propelling concern") Thomas Peterson, William Connolley, and John Fleck disagree, strongly arguing that it is a "popular myth" and a "falsehood" to say that "in the 1970s the climate science community was predicting 'global cooling.' "The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus," Thomas C. Peterson, William M. Connolley, John Fleck, "The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus," Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Volume 89, Issue 9, pp. 1325–37. Они пришли к такому выводу на основе анализа публикаций, включая цитаты из различных статей, за период с 1965 по 1979 г. Вину за «миф» они возложили в определенной мере на «средства массовой информации». Вместе с тем, как свидетельствует ответ Мойнихану, между учеными в те годы существовал ясный раскол. Как заметил отец моделирования климата Сюкуро Манабе, «в то время глобальное потепление никого не волновало… Некоторые считали, что надвигается новый ледниковый период». Однако к концу 1970-х гг. акцент сместился с похолодания на потепление, если не считать, конечно, «ядерной зимы». Короче говоря, все это десятилетие характеризовалось отсутствием «согласия».

Newsweek, April 28, 1975; "What Is Happening to Our Climate," National Geographic, November 1976, Time magazine, August 19, 1976.

R.P. Turco, O. B. Toon, T. P. Ackerman, J. B. Pollack, and Carl Sagan, "Nuclear Winter: Global Consequences of Multiple Nuclear Explosions," Science 222, no. 4630 (1983), pp. 1283–92.

Hart and Victor, "Scientific Elites," pp. 657–61 ("advertant"); Weart, The Discovery of Global Warming, p. 5 (Kennedy); Martin Campbell-Kelly and William Aspray, Computer: A History of the Information Machine (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 2004), p. 79 ("considerable temerity").

Norman Macrae, John von Neumann: The Scientific Genius Who Pioneered the Modern Computer, Game Theory, Nuclear Deterrence, and Much More (American Mathematical Society, 2008), pp. 5, 248 ("last words").

Macrae, John von Neumann, pp. 52, 250, 266, 325, 369; Stanislaw M. Ulam, Adventures of a Mathematician (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1991), pp. 4, 203, 245.

Campbell-Kelly and Aspray, Computer, pp. 3–4 ("computers"); Macrae, John von Neumann, p. 234 ("modern mathematical modeling").

Macrae, John von Neumann, pp. 298, 302 ("phenomena").

Spencer Weart, "Government: The View from Washington, DC," The Discovery of Global Warming, at http://www.aip.org/history/climate/Govt.htm ("warfare"); Macrae, John von Neumann, pp. 298, 316 ("jiggle," "weather predictions"); New York Times, February 9, 1957 ("electronic brain").

Norman Phillips, "Jule Charney, 1917–1981," Annals of the History of Computing 3, no. 4 (1981), pp. 318–19; Norman Phillips, "Jule Charney's Influence on Meteorology," Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 63, no. 5 (1982), pp. 492–98; John M. Lewis, "Smagorinsky's GFDL: Building the Team," Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 89, no. 9 (2008), pp. 1339–53; Macrae, John von Neumann, pp. 316–20.

"'Suki' Manabe: Pioneer of Climate Modeling," IPRC Climate 5, no. 2 (2005), pp. 11–15; Syukuro Manabe and Richard Wetherald, "Thermal Equilibrium of the Atmosphere witha Given Distribution of Relative Humidity," Journal of Atmospheric Sciences 24, no. 3 (1967), pp. 241–59; Spencer Weart, "General Circulation Models of Climate," The Discovery of Global Warming, at http://www.aip.org/history/climate/GCM.htm.

Interview with Fred Krupp.

Macrae, John von Neumann, p. 3245–326 (most prominent meteorologist); James G. Speth, Red Sky at Morning: America and the Crisis of the Global Environment (New Haven: Yale University Press, 2005), p. 3; interview with Rafe Pomerance; Report of an Ad Hoc Study Group on Carbon Dioxide and Climate, Woods Hole, Massachusetts, July 23–27, 1979, to the Climate Research Board, Assembly of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, National Research Council (Washington, D. C.: National Academy of Sciences, 1979) ("incontrovertible evidence").

"Effects of Carbon Dioxide Buildup in the Atmosphere," Hearing, U. S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, April 3, 1980.