В поисках энергии. Ресурсные войны, новые технологии и будущее энергетики

6. Robert Goralski and Russell W. Freeburg, Oil & War: How the Deadly Struggle for Fuel in WWII Meant Victory or Defeat (New York: William Morrow, 1987); Arthur J. Marder, Old Friends, New Enemies: The Royal Navy and the Imperial Japanese Navy (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1981), pp. 166–7 (“scarecrows”); Basil Liddell Hart, The Rommel Papers, trans. Paul Findlay (New York: Da Capo Press, 1985), p. 453.

7. Donella Meadows, Dennis Meadows, Jorgen Randers and William Behrens III, The Limits to Growth: A Report for the Club of Rome’s Project on the Predicament of Mankind (New York: Signet Books, 1974).

8. Chemical Week, July 19, 1978 (“twilight”).

9. Independent, June 14, 2007 (“glass”).

10. William E. Akin, Technocracy and the American Dream: The Technocratic Movement 1900–1941 (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1977), ch. 6. The Leading Edge 2, no. 2 (February 1983) (“manpower and raw materials”); Tyler Priest, “Peak Oil Prophecies: Oil Supply Assessments and the Future of Nature in U. S. History,” unpublished paper, p. 17 (“hieroglyphics”); Fred Meissner, “M. King Hubbert as a Teacher,” presentation, Geological Society of America Annual Meeting, Seattle, Washington, 2003 (“comprehend”); David Doan, “Memorial to M. King Hubbert,” Geological Society of America, Memorials 24 (1994), p. 40.

11. Interview with Pete Rose; Priest, “Peak Prophecies,” pp. 18, 21–22 (“mathematician that he is”), fn. 52–53 (Broussard).

12. Washington Post, April 7, 1974 (“light post”).

13. M. King Hubbert, speech, American Petroleum Institute, March8, 1956 (“blip in the span of time”); Chemical Week, July 19, 1978 (lifetimes); T. N. Narasimhan, “M. King Hubbert: A Centennial Tribute,” Ground Water 41, no. 5 (2003), p. 561 (“period of non-growth”).

14. Colin Campbell and Jean Laherrere, “The End of Cheap Oil,” Scientific American, March1998 (“only minor deviations”); Peter Jackson, “Why the ‘Peak Oil’ Theory Falls Down,” IHS CERA, November 2006, Steven Gorelick to author; Peter R. Rose to author.

15. Interview with Pete Rose (“very static view”); William L. Fisher, “How Technology Has Confounded U. S. Gas Resource Estimates,” Oil and Gas Journal 42, no. 3 (1994).

16. Leonardo Maugeri, “Squeezing More Oil from the Ground,” Scientific American, October 2009, pp. 56–63; “The Benefits of DOFF: A Global Assessment of Potential Oil Recovery Increases,” IHS CERA, August 19, 2005 (digital oil field).

17. Matthew R. Simmons, Twilight in the Desert: The Coming Saudi Oil Shock and the World Economy (Hoboken: John Wiley, 2006) (central tenet).

18. Interview with Khalid Al-Falih (“robust”).

19. Interview with Mark Moody-Stuart; Peter McCabe, “Energy Resources: Cornucopia or Empty Barrel?” AAPG Bulletin 82, no. 11 (1998), pp. 2110–34 (revisions and additions); McCabe, “Energy Resources,” p. 2131 (“symmetrical”). A good case study of “not running out” is provided by the Permian Basin, one of only two “super giant” oil fields in the Lower 48.

20. Peter Jackson, Jonathan Craig, Leta Smith, Samia Razak and Simon Wardell, “’Peak Oil’ Postponed Again,” IHS CERA, October 2010. For two thoughtful and highly informative analyses on depletion and “running out,” see Steven Gorelick, Oil Panic and the Global Crisis: Predictions and Myths (Oxford: Wiley-Blackwell, 2010) and Leonardo Maugeri, The Age of Oil: The Mythology, History, and Future of the World’s Most Controversial Resource (Westport: Praeger, 2006), chs. 16–20.

Глава 12. Нетрадиционные углеводороды

1. Rod Lathim, The Spirit of the Big Yellow House (Santa Barbara: Emily Publications, 1995), pp. 33–47; William Leffler, Richard A. Pattaroizzi, and Gordon Sterling, Deepwater Exploration and Production: A Non-Technical Guide (Tulsa: Pennwell, 2011), ch. 1.

2. Peter Jackson, Jonathan Craig, Leta Smith, Samia Razak, and Simon Wardell, “Peak Oil Postponed Again: Liquids Production Capacity to 2030,” IHS CERA, 2010.

3. John S. Ezell, Innovations in Energy: The Story of Kerr-McGee (Norman: University of Oklahoma Press, 1979), pp. 152–69.