В поисках энергии. Ресурсные войны, новые технологии и будущее энергетики

5. Far Eastern Economic Review, April 2006; Wall Street Journal, October 4, 2010 (“hegemon”); Office of the Secretary of Defense, U. S. Department of Defense, “Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2010”; Washington Post, July 31, 2010; See Wang Jisi, “China’s Search for a Grand Strategy,” Foreign Affairs, March – April 2011, p. 71 (“reckless”). For a discussion of the emergence of the “core interest” concept, see Michael Swaine, “China’s Assertive Behavior, Part 1, ‘On Core Interests, ’” China Leadership Monitor, No. 34 (2011).

6. Hu Jintao, speech, G8 Summit, St., Petersburg, July 2006 (dilemmas); interview (“exporting to America”); Zhou Jiping, “Embracing the Low Carbon Economy of Sustainable Energy Development,” speech, International Petroleum Technology Conference, Doha, December 7, 2009.

7. Martin S. Indyk, Kennet G. Lieberthal, and Michael O’Hanlon, Bending History: Barack Obama’s Foreign Policy (Washington D. C.: Brookings Institution, 2012), pp. 29 (“own rise”), 43 (“closed loop”); Michael D. Swain and M. Taylor Fravel, “China’s Assertive Behavior: Part Two: the Maritime Periphery”, China Leadership Monitor, Summer 2011.

8. Xi Jinping, Speech, Washington D. C., February 16, 2012.

9. Interview.

10. Kelly Sims Gallagher, China Shift s Gears: Automakers, Oil, Pollution, and Development (Cambridge: Massachusetts Institute of Technology Press, 2006), pp. 2, 34–36, 63–79, 172; Jim Mann, Beijing Jeep: A Case Study of Western Business in China (Boulder: Westview Press, 1997); The Wall Street Journal, June 8, 2004.

11. The New York Times, December 22, 2010.

12. The World Bank and State Environmental Protection Agency of the People’s Republic of China, Cost of Pollution in China: Economic Estimates of Physical Damages, 2007; Daniel H. Rosen and Trevor Houser, China Energy: A Guide for the Perplexed, China Balance Sheet Project, Center for Strategic and International Studies and the Peterson Institute for International Economics, May 2007, pp. 13, 42.

13. Liu Zhenya, “Strong Smart Grid,” speech, July 26, 2010.

14. Julie Jiang and Jonathan Sinton, Overseas Investments by Chinese National Oil Companies: Assessing the Drivers and Impacts (Paris: International Energy Agency, 2011), p. 20.

Глава 11. Кончается ли в мире нефть

1. Kenneth S. Deffeyes, Hubbert’s Peak: The Impending World Oil Shortage (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2001), pp. ix, 10, 158 (“chaos,” Thanksgiving); Michael C. Ruppert, “Colin Campbell on Oil: Perhaps the World’s Foremost Expert on Oil and the Oil Business Confirms the Ever More Apparent Reality of the Post 9–11 World,” The Wilderness Publications, 2002 (“extinction”); Oil Depletion Analysis Centre, “New Oil Projects Cannot Meet World Needs This Decade,” The Wilderness Publications, November 16, 2004 (“unbridgable”); Independent, June 14, 2007; UK Energy Research Centre, Global Oil Depletion: An Assessment of the Evidence for a Near Term Peak in Global Oil Production (London, 2009), p. x.

2. International Energy Agency, World Energy Outlook 2010 (Paris: International Energy Agency, 2010), p. 139.

3. Ali Larijani, speech, Arab Strategy Forum, Dubai, UAE, December 5, 2006 (“expiration date”).

4. Daniel Yergin, The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power (New York: Free Press, 2008), p. 36 (Archbold).

5. H. A. Garfield, Final Report of the U. S. Fuel Administrator, 1917–1919 (Washington, DC: GPO, 1921), p. 8 (“walk to church”); Francis Delaisi, Oil: Its Influence on Politics, trans. C. Leonard Leese (London: Labour Publishing, 1922), pp. 86–91 (Curzon); National Petroleum News, October 29, 1919, p. 51 (“ ever-increasing decline”); Dennis J. O’Brien, “The Oil Crisis and the Foreign Policy of the Wilson Administration, 1917–1921,” Ph. D. dissertation, University of Missouri, 1974 (“necessary supply”).