В поисках энергии. Ресурсные войны, новые технологии и будущее энергетики

4. Catherine Collins and Douglas Frantz, Fallout: The True Story of the CIA’s Secret War on Nuclear Trafficking (New York: Free Press, 2011), p. 23; Laura Bush, Spoken from the Heart (New York: Scribner, 2010), pp. 242, 277; George W. Bush, Decision Points (New York: Crown, 2010), p. 253; Haass, War of Necessity, War of Choice, p. 234 (“unable to prevent”); Pillar, “Intelligence, Policy, and the War in Iraq,” p. 21 (“any analysis”).

5. Thomas E. Ricks, Fiasco: The American Military Adventure in Iraq (New York: Penguin Press, 2007), chs. 2–3; interview with John Negroponte (“toughest message”).

6. The New York Times, August 27, 2002 (“infinitely more difficult”); Sifry and Cerf, The Iraq War Reader, p. 269 (“materialize”); Ricks, Fiasco, p. 30; George Packer, The Assassin’s Gate: America in Iraq (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2005), ch. 4; Michael R. Gordon and Bernard E. Trainor, Cobra II: The Inside Story of the Invasion and Occupation of Iraq (New York: Random House, 2006), pp. 72–73.

7. Haass, War of Necessity, War of Choice, p. 206 (“true threat”); Ricks, Fiasco, pp. 5, 65 (“not have an easy time”).

8. Interview with John Negroponte.

9. Bob Woodward, Plan of Attack (New York: Simon and Schuster, 2004), p. 323; interview (“proposal to invest”).

10. Donald Rumsfeld, “The Future of Iraq,” speech, School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University, Washington, DC, December 5, 2005 (“speed and agility”); Washington Post, February 27, 2003 (Gen. Shinseki); Donald Rumsfield, “Beyond Nation Building,” speech, Intrepid Sea-Air-Space Museum, New York City, February 14, 2003; Gordon and Trainor, Cobra II, pp. 459, 506 (Franks). Also Donald Rumsfeld, Known and Unknown: A Memoir (New York: Sentinel, 2011), pp. 482–83; 649–51.

11. Pillar, “Intelligence, Policy, and the War in Iraq,” p. 22 (“strong wind”); Brent Scowcroft, “Don’t Attack Saddam,” Wall Street Journal, August 15, 2002; interview with Brent Scowcroft; Haass, War of Necessity, War of Choice, p. 226 (“all else is jeopardized”); International Monetary Fund, “Iraq: Macroeconomic Assessment,” October 21, 2003 (government revenues); Ricks, Fiasco, pp. 96–98 (“its own reconstruction”).

12. Gordon and Trainor, Cobra II, p. 459.

13. Interview with Philip Carroll; Thomas Ghadhban, CERA, “Expansion of Iraq’s Crude Oil Production Capacity,” presentation, “Tale of Three Cities” conference, January 20–22, 2006 (twenty-three were put into production); Issam al-Chalabi, “Oil in Postwar Iraq,” presentation, CERA “Tale of Three Cities” conference, January 11–13, 2003.

14. Interview with Philip Carroll; L. Paul Bremer III and Malcolm McConnell, My Year in Iraq: The Struggle to Build a Future of Hope (New York: Simon and Schuster, 2006), p. 61.

15. Gordon and Trainor, Cobra II, p. 481 (“civil servants”); interview with Aleksander Kwaśniewski; Bremer and McConnell, My Year in Iraq, pp. 36–39; Terence Adams to author.

16. “Iraq’s Come Back: Consequences for the Oil Market and the Middle East,” CERA, January 2004; The New York Times, March 17, 2008 (expletive); Gordon and Trainor, Cobra II, pp. 483–84 (“incendiary”).

17. Rumsfeld, Known and Unknown, pp. 473–78 (“stuff happens”); Gordon and Trainor, Cobra II, pp. 46, 465, 472, 575; The New York Times, October 19, 2004; Bush, Decision Points, pp. 257–59.

18. Gordon and Trainor, Cobra II, pp. 489–95, 579.

19. Jeremy Greenstock, “What Must be Done Now,” Economist, May 6, 2004.

20. Interview with Rob McKee; Vera de Ladoucette and Leila Benali, “Iraqi Production: More (but Slower) Growth ahead,” CERA, November 12, 2003 (Baath plan).

21. Petroleum Intelligence Weekly, June 21, 2004; Michael Makovsky, “Oil’s Not Well in Iraq,” Weekly Standard, February 19, 2007; Michael Makovsky, “Iraq’s Oil Progress,” Weekly Standard, August 25, 2008.

Глава 8. Шок спроса

1. Michael Wallis, Oil Man: The Story of Frank Phillips and Phillips Petroleum (New York: Doubleday, 1988), p. 123 (“oil fever”).

2. Petroleum Intelligence Weekly, February 6, 2004; interview.

3. Guy Caruso, testimony, U. S. Senate Subcommittee on Energy and Water Development, June 25, 2008; Wall Street Journal, April 26, 2004 (“guidelines,” “curious,” “skeptically”).