research as harmed by, 373, 387–8
scientists and, 138, 356–8, 372
as secular religions, 32
Social Darwinism and, 399, 486n36
social segregation according to, 371
as sports fandom, 359, 360, 366, 381, 383
Trump’s election and, 343
political science, 407
Polity Project, 202, 203
Polk, James, 63
pollution.
Pol Pot, 78, 161, 447
poor countries.
Popper, Karl, 205, 393, 486n21
population
control measures, 74
demographic transition, 125, 135–6, 436
education and decline of, 238
explosion of, 56, 73–4, 125–6,
fertility of religious believers, 436, 489n70
fertility rates as decreasing, 125–6
growth of,
Muslim, 126, 326
and Peak Stuff, 135–6
populism, 29, 333–4
age rolloff in support for, 341–2,
backlash against equal rights, 219, 221, 225
cultural backlash as primary issue in, 340, 342
dystopian rhetoric and, 343–4
economics and, 339, 340, 342
education and, 339, 340
and electoral irregularities, repair of, 342–3
in Europe, 334, 338–9, 341–2,
fascism and, 448, 491n118
institutional limits on power of, 337–8
intellectuals and, 343–4
vs. international community, 163, 337–8
left- and right-wing varieties, 334
media and, 343–4
minority rights, disrespect for, 333, 340
Peak Populism, 451
and “political correctness,” 219
progress as rejected by, 334, 363–4
racism and, 339–40
repudiation of, 338–9
strongman emergence as factor in, 340–41, 343
and terrorism, fear of, 338, 339
theoconservatism and, 448–9
voter characteristics and, 339–40
voter turnout and, 343, 438
Porter, Roy, 84
Portugal, 200, 341, 481n32
positivism, 388.
postcolonial governments
civil war and intercommunal violence of, 164
and democracies, rise of, 200, 201
famine exacerbated by policies of, 78
postmodernism, 351
hatred of science, 397
and malaise of the humanities, 406
Nietzsche as influence on, 446
relativism, 406
Poststructuralism, 446
Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD), 281, 282
“post-truth era,” 375
Potomac River, 130
Pound, Ezra, 447
poverty, 79–96
clothing and, 80, 117, 118
conditions of, 79–80, 92–4
and consumption, 116–18,
as default state of humankind, 25, 79
definition of, 79
and disposable income, 115–16,
economic inequality confused with, 98–9
energy requirements to escape, 141
escape from, 24, 54, 85, 364, 459–60nn16,18,20
escape from, factors contributing to, 90–96, 234
homelessness, 116
pollution and, 130–31, 463n28
retirement and alleviation of, 250–51,
social spending to alleviate, 107–110, 115–16
workhouses, 79, 250–51
—EXTREME POVERTY, 87
number of people living in, 88–9,
per capita income distribution and, 86–7,
percentage of world living in, 87–8,
United Nations’ goal for reducing, 89, 460n28
power-law distribution, 46, 162, 290, 292–3
Prados de la Escosura, Leandro, 110, 245, 473n45
prediction, 46, 366–71
Availability heuristic and, 370
Bayesian reasoning and, 369–70
common-sense awareness of, 366
ideology driven as least successful, 368, 371
media and intellectuals unaccountable for, 366–7
prophecy distinguished from, 46
superforecasters, 368–71, 380, 393, 404
wisdom of crowds and, 370
President’s Council on Bioethics, 60
Preston Curve, 95
probabilities
of imaginable events, inaccurate estimates, 292
of nuclear war, 312–13
of rare events, 46, 162, 290, 292–3
productivity, 328
delay in effects of technological change, 330
factors affecting slowdown of, 329
technological sophistication and, 328
progress
as apparent historical force, 109, 177–8, 190, 211–13, 215, 220–21
vs. Authoritarian High Modernism, 11–12
as cumulative, 326–7
definition of, 11, 51–2, 55, 410
vs. dialectics and other mystical forces, arcs, and struggles, 11, 109, 326, 395, 400
general factor (quantitative), 245–6,
global shaming campaigns and, 222, 443
Human Development Index, 245–6,
institutions as hope for, 12
“price of,” 11–12, 185–6
Romantic vs. Enlightenment versions, 11, 109, 326, 395, 400
summary of, 322–6
threats to, 328–41.
unbundling negative features from, 94
United Nations Millennium Development Goals for, 52, 89, 239–40, 457n31, 459–60n18
Protestant countries, emancipative values in, 227
Protestant ethic, 85
psychology
clinical.
cognitive, 351, 353, 378, 407
Enlightenment precursors, 8–9, 10, 353, 392
evolutionary, 17, 25–8, 353–5, 415, 426, 448, 450
social, 100, 373, 407
psychotherapy
cognitive behavior therapy, 282
Feedback-Informed Treatment, 380
and media focus on negative news, 286–7
public goods game.
public health
bioterror and international networks, 301
Ebola control, 307
Nazi Holocaust invoking, 399
revolution of, 64, 83