Читаем Как избежать климатических катастроф? План Б 4.0: спасение цивилизации полностью

55 Данные о населении Лесото и Свазиленда взяты из: Population Reference Bureau (PRB), Datafinder, электронная база данных – см.: www.prb.org.

56 U.N. Population Division, op. cit. note 54.

57 Там же.

58 Там же.

59 Program for Appropriate Technology in Health (PATH) and UNFPA, Meeting the Need: Strengthening Family Planning Programs (Seattle, WA: 2006), pp. 5–11; цитата взята из All Party Parliamentary Group, op. cit. note 11, p. 22.

60 Janet Larsen, “Iran’s Birth Rate Plummeting at Record Pace”, in Lester R. Brown, Janet Larsen, and Bernie Fischlowitz-Roberts, The Earth Policy Reader (New York: W. W. Norton & Company, 2002), pp. 190–194.

61 Там же.; см. также Ноmа Hoodfar and Samad Assadpour, “The Politics of Population Policy in the Islamic Republic of Iran”, Studies in Family Planning, March 2000, pp. 19–34, and Farzaneh Roudi, “Iran’s Family Planning Program: Responding to a Nation’s Needs”, MENA Policy Brief, June 2002; Информация по темпам прироста населения Ирана взята из публикации United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (New York: 2005).

62 Larsen, op. cit. note 60.

63 Там же.

64 Там же. Информация по темпам прироста населения взята из публикации: PRB, 2005 World Population Data Sheet, wall chart (Washington, DC: August 2005); U.N. Population Division, op. cit. note 2.

65 Pamela Polston, “Lowering the Boom: Population Activist Bill Ryerson is Saving the World – One ‘Soap’ at a Time”, Seven Days, 21 August 2005.

66 Там же.

67 Там же.

68 Там же.

69 Дополнительные расходы из J. Joseph Speidel et al., Family Planning and Reproductive Health: The Link to Environmental Preservation (San Francisco: Bixby Center for Reproductive Health and Research Policy, University of California, 2007), p. 10, и из J. Joseph Speidel; дискуссия с Дж. Мэттью Роуни, Earth Policy Institute, 16 октября 2007 года.

70 PATH and UNFPA, op. cit. note 59, p. 18.

71 “Bangladesh: National Family Planning Program”, Family “Planning Programs: Diverse Solutions for a Global Challenge (Washington, DC: PRB, 1994); Speidel et al., op. cit. note 69, p. 10.

72 UNFPA, The State of World Population 2004 (New York: 2004), pp. 14–15.

73 United Nations, op. cit. note 61; UNFPA, op. cit. note 72, p. 39.

74 Fund for Peace and Foreign Policy, “The Failed States Index”, Foreign Policy, July/Augustissues, 2005–2009; U.S. Department of State, “Background Note: Liberia”, – см.: www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/6618.htm, последнее обновление в июне 2009 года; Maria Cristina Caballero, “’Ma Ellen,’ African Symbol of Hope, Returns to Harvard”, Harvard University Gazette, 16 September 2006; “UN’s Ban to Visit Liberia as Blue Helmets Prepare Pullout”, Agence France-Presse, 20 April 2008.

75 Fund for Peace and Foreign Policy, op. cit. note 74; Fund for Peace, “Country Profile: Colombia”, – cм.: www.fundforpeace.org, просмотрено автором 8 июля 2009 г.

76 Commission on Weak States and U.S. National Security, Оn the Brink: Weak States and U.S. National Security (Washington, DC: Center for Global Development, 2004), p. 27.

77 The U.S. Commission on National Security in the 21st Century, Road Map for National Security: Imperative for Change (Washington, DC: February 2001), p. 53.

78 Commission on Weak States and U.S. National Security, op. cit. note 76, pp. 30–32.

79 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries 2008: At a Glance (Paris: 2008), p. 9; OECD, “Development Aid at its Highest Level Ever in 2008”, пресс-релиз (Paris: 30 March 2009); “The Hypocrisy of Farm Subsidies”, New Yo r k Times, 1 December 2002.

80 “The Hypocrisy of Farm Subsidies”, op. cit. note 79.

81 OECD, “Development Aid”, op. cit. note 79; OECD, OECD Statistics, электронная база данных – см.: stats.oecd.org/wbos, последнее обновление в 2009 году; “South Africa: Weaning States Off Subsidies”, Africa News, 19 August 2005.

Перейти на страницу:

Похожие книги

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

A BLACK SWAN is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible."For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. Now, in this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know. He offers surprisingly simple tricks for dealing with black swans and benefiting from them.Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan.Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part no-nonsense mathematical trader, he is currently taking a break by serving as the Dean's Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. His last book, the bestseller Fooled by Randomness, has been published in twenty languages, Taleb lives mostly in New York.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Документальная литература / Культурология / История