The green recovery subordinates economics to politics and politics to ecology. A new programme of
It is hard to give up the idea of unlimited growth, but we have already had to renounce many of our cherished ideas – for example, progress: our mothers and grandfathers lived worse than us, our daughters and grandsons will live better, and this assumption accords with the emotional patterns of love and pride. But, in rich countries, the under-thirties are the first generation for centuries to be worse off than their parents or grandparents. Life will be even less comfortable in a world that will be 1 or 2 degrees warmer than it is today. Floods and fires will absorb trillions of dollars, which will damage the labour market still further. Pandemics and wars will reduce life expectancy and lead to mass migrations, which will cause a further deterioration in the political climate. Most probably, the routine blessings of a modest life – a house, a car, tourist travel, holidays in the countryside and, ultimately, ‘nature’ herself – will become luxuries.
Looking back at the last hundred years, we can see that class inequality has hardly changed in the modern world – even wars and revolutions reduced it only for a short while. Gender inequality has gradually diminished thanks to women’s entry into the full-time labour market, but great differences remain. The inequality between different countries reflects the variability of nature and history – global warming will only accentuate these differences. Inequality among different age cohorts is a relatively new topic for the social sciences – but not, of course, for the moral thinkers who have repeatedly called for fathers to do the best for their children. In our pre-apocalyptic world, the ideal of cohort equality is critically important. Can we prevent the sufferings of future generations by our efforts?
Society does not live outside nature, and economic life is not separate from its ecological consequences. Every act of individual consumption causes another release of carbon into the atmosphere which we all breathe – plants, animals, people. Ecological reforms depend on behavioural changes which will amount to a revolution, and they will be impossible without equally radical changes in international relations. Only a global community can avert catastrophe, and once again revolution can succeed only if it is worldwide. The New Deal worked in one individual country, but the Green New Deal will work only on a planet-wide scale. The scale of the impending catastrophe is tantamount to the establishment of global sovereignty: the terror will come not from Leviathan but from Gaia.