3. Pietro S. Nivola, The Politics of Energy Conservation
(Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution, 1986); Vietor, Energy Policy, pp. 253 («every problem»), 256 («refining junk»), 238 (Federal Register), 258; Cole to the President, Decision on Signing of Alaska Pipeline Legislation, November 13, 1973, White House Special Files, President's Office Files, Nixon archives; Interview with Robert O. Anderson.4. Goodwin, Energy Policy,
pp. 554–55 («zeal»); Interviews with Stuart Eizenstat and James Schlesinger; Stuart E. Eizenstat, «The 1977 Energy Plan: M.E.O.W,» Case note for the Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University; Jimmy Carter, Keeping Faith: Memoirs of a President (London: Collins, 1982), pp. 92–106 («deeply resented» and «most difficult question»); James Schlesinger, «The Energy Dilemma,» Oak Ridge National Laboratory Review, Summer 1972, p. 13; Stobaugh and Yergin, Energy Future, p. 70 («Hell»); MEES, December 11, 1978, p. i («water torture»).5. Business Week,
February 3, 1975, p. 38 («just wild»); Interview with Robert Dolph («rabbits»); E. C. G. Werner, «Presentation to the Frankfurt Financial Community,» Nov. 25, 1976, p. 3.6. George W. Grayson, The Politics of Mexican Oil
(Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press, 1980), pp. 58, 77 («digestion»); «Why the Bankers Love Mexico,» Fortune, July 16, 1979, pp. 138, 142.7. Anthony Benn, Against the Tide: Diaries, 1972–1976
(London: Hutchinson, 1989), p. 403 («cross-section»); Interviews with Harold Wilson and Thomas Balogh; Stig S. Kvendseth, Giant Discovery: A History of Ekofisk Through the First 20 Years (Tanager, Norway: Phillips Petroleum Norway, 1988), pp. 9–31; Daniel Yergin, «Britain Drills and Prays,» New York Times Magazine, November 2, 1975, pp. 13, 59.8. On oil price forecasting, see Arthur Andersen & Co. and Cambridge Energy Research Associates, The Future of Oil Prices: The Perils of Prophecy
(Houston: 1984). On the extent of the consensus in 1978, see «Threatening Scramble for Oil,» Petroleum Economist, May 1978, pp. 178–79; Stobaugh and Yergin, Energy Future, pp. 351–52, n. 34; Francisco Parra, «World Energy Supplies and the Search for Oil,» MEES, Supplement, April 12, 1978, pp. 1–6. «По общему мнению, — заметил Пара, — следующий энергетический кризис должен произойти в 1980-х гг., когда дефицит нефти начнет угрожать дальнейшему экономическому росту из-за отсутствия достаточного количества альтернативных источников энергии». MEES, June 26, 1978, p. iv («our own studies»); Public Papers of the Presidents of the United States: Jimmy Carter, 1977, book 2 (Washington, D.C.; GPO, 1978), pp. 2220–21 («island of stability»); Interview («big trouble»).
Глава 331. Parsons, Pride and Fall,
pp. 10, 8, 50, 54–55; Graham, Iran, p. 19; New York Times, June 5, 1989, p. All; Rubin, Paved with Good Intentions, p. 176 («A-list»).2. Bill, Eagle and Lion,
pp. 235, 51; Sick, All Fall Down, p. 40 («40–40»). Sick is a significant source for the Iranian revolution and American policy. Parsons, Pride and Fall, pp. 62–64 («no compromise»), 71 («I was worried»); United States Congress, House of Representatives, Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, Subcommittee on Evaluation, Iran: Evaluation of U.S. Intelligence Performance Prior to November 1978, Staff Report (Washington, D.C.: GPO, 1979), pp. 2, 6–7 (Intelligence); Shawcross, Shah's Last Ride, chap. 14 (Shah's ill health); Interview with Robert Bowie.3. IEA archives; Sick, All Fall Down,
pp. 57 («public opinion»), 123–25 (Soviet plot), 132; Parsons, Pride and Fall, pp. 85 («snow»); Interviews with Jeremy Gilbert («The Fields»), James Schlesinger and Harold Saunders («first systematic meeting»); Richard Folk, «Trusting Khomeini,» New York Times, February 16, 1979, p. A27 («entourage»); New York Times, February 8, 1979, p. A13; February 9, 1979, p. A17 («saint»); William H. Sullivan, Mission to Iran (New York: Norton, 1981), pp. 200–3 («Thinking the Unthinkable»), 225 («no policy»).