Столкновение цивилизаций

10. Fatima Mernissi, Islam and Democracy: Fear of the Modern World (Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1992).

11. Подборку таких сообщений, см. Economist, 1 August 1992, p. 34–35.

12. John E. Reilly, ed., American Public Opinion and U. S. Foreign Policy 1995 (Chicago: Chicago Council on Foreign Relations, 1995), p. 21; Le Monde, 20 September 1991, p. 12, цит. по Margaret Blunden, «Insecurity on Europe’s Southern Flank», Survival, 36 (Summer 1994), 138; Richard Morin, Washington Post (National Weekly Ed.), 8–14 November 1993, p. 37; Foreign Policy Association, National Opinion Ballot Report, November 1994, p. 5.

13. Boston Globe, 3 June 1994, p. 18; John L. Esposito, «Symposium: Resurgent Islam in the Middle East», Middle East Policy 3 (No. 2, 1994), 9; International Herald Tribune, 10 May 1994, p. 1, 4; Christian Science Monitor, 24 February 1995, p. 1.

14. Robert Ellsworth, Wall Street Journal, 1 March 1995, p. 15; William T. Johnsen, NATO’s New Front Line: The Growing Importance of the Southern Tier (Carlisle Barracks, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, 1992), p. vii; Robbin Laird, French Security Policy in Transition: Dynamics of Continuity and Change (Washington, D. C.: Institute for National Strategic Studies, McNair paper 38, March 1995), p. 50–52.

15. Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, Islam and Revolution (Berkeley, CA: Mizan Press, 1981), p. 305.

16. Economist, 23 November 1991, p. 15.

17. Barry Buzan and Gerald Segal, «Rethinking East Asian Security», Survival, 36 (Summer 1994), 15.

18. Can China’s Armed Forces Win the Next War?, отрывки переведены и опубликованы: Ross H. Munro, «Eavesdropping on the Chinese Military: Where It Expects War – Where It Doesn’t», Orbis, 38 (Summer 1994), 365. Авторы этого документа далее сказали, что использование военной силы против Тайваня «было бы в действительности неразумным решением».

19. B. Buzan and G. Segal, «Rethinking East Asian Security», p. 7; Richard K. Berts, «Wealth, Power and Instability: East Asia and the United States After the Cold War», International Security, 18 (Winter 1993/94), 34–77; Aaron L. Friedberg, «Ripe for Rivalry: Prospects for Peace in Multipolar Asia», International Security, 18 (Winter 1993/ 94), 5–33.

20. Can China’s Armed Forces Win the Next War?, отрывки переведены в R. H. Munro, «Eavesdropping on the Chinese», p. 355ff.; New York Times, 16 November 1993, p. A6; A. L. Friedberg, «Ripe for Rivalry», p. 7.

21. Desmond Ball, «Arms and Affluence: Military Acquisitions in the Asia-Pacific Region», International Security, 18 (Winter 1993/94), 95– 111; Michael T. Klare, «The Next Great Arms Race», Foreign Affairs, 72 (Summer 1993), 137ff; B. Buzan and G. Segal, «Rethinking East Asian Security», p. 8–11; Gerald Segal, «Managing New Arms Races in the Asia/Pacific», Washington Quarterly, 15 (Summer 1992), 83–102; Economist, 20 February 1993, p. 19–22.

22. См., например, Economist, 26 June 1993, p. 75; 24 July 1995, p. 25; Time, 3 July 1995, p. 30–31; и о Китае, см. Jacob Heilbrunn, «The Next Cold War», New Republic, 20 November 1995, p. 27ff.

23. О разновидностях торговых войн и о том, как они могут привести к войне с участием вооруженных сил, см. David Rowe, Trade Wars and International Security: The Political Economy of International Economic Conflict (Working paper no. 6, Project on the Changing Security Environment and American National Interests, John M. Olin Institute for Strategic Studies, Harvard University, July 1994), p. 7ff.

24. New York Times, 6 July 1993, p. A1, A6; Time, 10 February 1992, p. 16ff; Economist, 17 February 1990, p. 21–24; Boston Globe, 25 November 1991, p. 1, 8; Dan Oberdorfer, Washington Post, 1 March 1992, p. A1.

25. Цит. в New York Times, 21 April 1992, p. A10; New York Times, 22 September 1991, p. E2; 21 April 1992, p. A1; 19 September 1991, p. A7; 1 August 1995, p. A2; International Herald Tribune, 24 August 1995, p. 4; China Post (Taipei), 26 August 1995, p. 2; New York Times, 1 August 1995, p. A2, цитируя репортаж Дэвида Шамбо об интервью в Пекине.