Как избежать климатических катастроф? План Б 4.0: спасение цивилизации

70 Tim P. Barnett et al., “Human-Induced Changes in the Hydrology of the Western United States”, Science , vol. 319 (22 February 2008); T. M. Shanahan et al., “Atlantic Forcing of Persistent Drought in West Africa”, Scienc e, vol. 324 (17 April 2009); Marshall B. Burke, David B. Lobell, and Luigi Guarino, “Shifts in African Crop Climates by 2050, and the Implications for Crop Improvement and Genetic Resources Conservation”, Global Environmental Change , в печати.

71 U. N. Population Division, op. cit. note 59; Burke, Lobell, and Guarino, op. cit. note 70; Marlowe Hood, “Warming May Outstrip Africa’s Ability to Feed Itself: Study”, Agence France-Presse , 17 June 2009.

72 IEA, op. cit. note 6, pp. 221, 225; DOE, EIA, “How Dependent Are We on Foreign Oil?” – см.: tonto.eia.doe.gov/energy_in_brief/foreign_oil_dependence.cfm, материал обновлен 23 апреля 2009 г.; U. S. Bureau of the Census, “Most of Us Still Drive to Work Alone – Public Transportation Commuters Concentrated in a Handful of Large Cities”, press release (Washington DC: 13 June 2007); Peter Whorinskey, “GM to Build Small Car in U. S.”, Washington Post , 29 May 2009.

73 Ayesha Rascoe, “U.S. Oil Demand in 2008 Hit a 10-year Low: Government”, Reuters , 7 July 2009; DOE, EIA, Short-Term Energy Outlook (Washington DC: 27 February 2009), pp. 22; Ayesha Rascoe, “U. S. Public Transit 2008 Ridership Highest in 52 years”, Reuters, 9 March 2009.

74 Campbell, op. cit. note 5; Michael T. Klare, “Entering the Tough Oil Era”, TomDispatch.com , 16 August 2007.

75 Michael T. Klare, “The Energy Crunch to Come”, TomDispatch.com , 22 March 2005; Jad Mouawad, “Big Oil’s Burden of Too Much Cash”, New York Times , 12 February 2005; Mark Williams, “The End of Oil?”, Technology Review , February 2005; John Vidal, “The End of Oil Is Closer Than You Think”, Guardian (London), 21 April 2005.

76 James Pincero, “If We Really Have the Oil”, Bloomberg Wealth Manager , September 2002, p. 45; Klare, op. cit. note 75; Richard C. Duncan and Walter Youngquist, “Encircling the Peak of World Oil Production”, National Resources Research , vol. 12, No. 4 (December 2003), p. 222; Walter Youngquist, GeoDestinies: The Inevitable Control of Earth Resources over Nations and Individuals (Portland: National Book Company, 1997); A. M. Samsam Bakhtiari, “World Oil Production Capacity Model Suggests Output Peak by 2006–07”, Oil and Gas Journal , 26 April 2004, pp. 18–20.

77 Fredrick Robelius, Giant Oil Fields – The Highway to Oil (Uppsala, Sweden: Uppsala University Press, 9 March 2007), pp. 81–84; Petrobras Brazil, “Production Goes on Stream in Tupi: Year I of a New Era” – см.: www2.petrobras.com.br/Petrobras/ingles/area_tupi.asp, просмотрено 17 июня 2009 г.

78 Guy Chazan and Neil King Jr., “Russian Oil Slump Stirs Supply Jitters”, Wall Street Journal , 15 April 2008; данные о снижении добычи нефти в России см. в: IEA, Oil Market Report (Paris: May 2009).

79 Vidal, op. cit. note 75.

80 Gargi Chakrabarry, “Shale’s New Hope”, Rocky Mountain News , 18 October 2004; Walter Youngquist, “Alterantive Energy Sources” – в книге: Lee C. Gerhard, Patrick Leahy, and Victor Yannacone, eds., Sustainability of Energy and Water through the 21st Century , Proceedings of the Arbor Day Farm Conference, 8–11 October 2000 (Lawrence, KS: Kansas Geological Survey, 2002), p. 65.

81 Rober Collier, “Canadian Oil Sands: Vast Reserves Second to Saudi Arabia Will Keep America Moving, But at a Steep Environmental Cost”, San Francisco Chronicle , 22 May 2005; Alberta Department of Energy, Alberta’s Oil Sands, 2008 (Edmonton, Alberta: June 2009); BP, BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2009 (London: June 2009) p. 11; Robin Pagnamenta, “Canadian Oil-Sand Mines Stuck as Crude Price Plummets”, The Times (London), 5 January 2009; Jad Mouawad, “Big Oil Projects Out in Jeopardy by Fall in Prices”, New York Times , 16 December 2008.

82 Sheila McNulty, “Tar Sands Refinery Projects Face a Sticky Future”, Financial Times , 5 January 2009; Collier, op. cit note 81; Alfred J. Cavallo, “Oil: Caveat Empty”, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists , vol. 61, No. 3 (May/ June 2005), pp. 16–18; Richard Heinberg, “The End of the Oil Age”, Earth Island Journal , vol. 18, No. 3 (fall 2003).

83 IEA, op. cit. note, p. 507.